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Latest posts
The Slow Recovery Continues NEW
iMFdirect 3 Days, 12 Hours, 43 Minutes ago
By Olivier Blanchard The recovery continues, but it remains weak, indeed a bit weaker than we forecast in April. We have revised our forecast for world growth in 2014 from 3.7 percent in April to 3.4 percent today. This headline number makes things l...
Euro Area: An Unbalanced Rebalancing? NEW
iMFdirect 5 Days, 13 Hours, 8 Minutes ago
By John Bluedorn and Shengzu Wang Since the financial crisis, the euro area current account, made up mostly of the trade balances of the individual countries, has moved from rough balance into a clear surplus. But the underlying rebalancing across ec...
Asia’s Seismic Shift: How Can the Financial Sector Serve Better? NEW
iMFdirect 6 Days, 10 Hours, 14 Minutes ago
By Min Zhu Asia is set to be the powerhouse for growth in the next decade, just as it was in the last one. The size of its economy is expected to expand more rapidly than the other regions of the world, and its share in the world output is expected t...
Fiscal Policy’s Evolving Role NEW
iMFdirect 1 Week, 3 Days, 13 Hours, 43 Minutes ago
Fiscal policy makers have faced an extraordinarily challenging environment over the last few years. At the outset of the global financial crisis, the IMF for the first time advocated a fiscal expansion across all countries able to afford it, a seemin...
Euro Area – Q&A on QE NEW
iMFdirect 1 Week, 6 Days, 14 Hours, 9 Minutes ago
By Reza Moghadam and Ranjit Teja  As inflation has sunk in the euro area, talk of quantitative easing (QE)—and misgivings about it—have soared. Some think QE is not needed; others that it would not work; and yet others that it only c...
Slowdown in Emerging Markets: Not Just a Hiccup NEW
iMFdirect 1 Month, 23 Hours, 2 Minutes ago
By Evridiki Tsounta and Kalpana Kochhar  Emerging market economies have been experiencing strong growth, with annual growth for the period 2000-12 averaging 4¾ percent per year—a full percentage point higher than in the previous two...
Fixing International Corporate Taxation—Not Just a Problem for Advanced Economies NEW
iMFdirect 1 Month, 2 Days, 4 Hours, 7 Minutes ago
By Michael Keen It’s hard to pick up a newspaper these days (or, more likely for readers of blogs, to skim one online) without finding another story about some multinational corporation managing, as if by magic, to pay little corporate tax. Wha...
What a Drag: The Burden of Nonperforming Loans on Credit in the Euro Area NEW
iMFdirect 1 Month, 4 Days, 2 Hours, 54 Minutes ago
By Will Kerry, Jean Portier, Luigi Ruggerone and Constant Verkoren  High and rising levels of nonperforming loans in the euro area have burdened bank balance sheets and acted as a drag on bank profits. Banks, striving to maintain provisions to c...
Emerging Market Corporate Sector Debt: A Stitch in Time Could Save Billions NEW
iMFdirect 1 Month, 1 Week, 3 Days, 2 Hours, 59 Minutes ago
By Julian Chow and Shamir Tanna Much has been said lately about growing private sector debt in emerging market economies. In our recent analysis, we examined the corporate sector in a number of countries and found their rising levels of debt could ma...
Era of Benign Neglect of House Price Booms is Over NEW
iMFdirect 1 Month, 2 Weeks, 2 Days, 9 Minutes ago
By Min Zhu (Version in 中文) House prices are inching up.  But is this a cause for much cheer?  Or are we watching the same movie again? Recall how after a decade-long boom, house prices started to fall in 2006, first in th...
Managing the revenue from natural resources—what’s a Finance Minister to do? NEW
iMFdirect 1 Month, 2 Weeks, 3 Days, 21 Hours, 43 Minutes ago
By Sanjeev Gupta and Enrique Flores The Finance Minister answers her mobile. On the line is the Minister of Energy, who informs her that the country has struck oil and that he expects revenues from its sale to start flowing into the budget in the com...
Banking on the Government NEW
iMFdirect 1 Month, 3 Weeks, 2 Days, 3 Hours, 43 Minutes ago
By Jesus Gonzalez-Garcia and Francesco Grigoli (Version in Español) Government ownership of banks is still common around the world, despite the large number of privatizations that took place over the past four decades as governments reduc...
The Secret Weapon for Fiscal Strength—Strong Budget Institutions NEW
iMFdirect 1 Month, 4 Weeks, 1 Day, 2 Hours, 7 Minutes ago
By Holger van Eden  Most economists would agree that institutions in general are incredibly important in helping to shape countries’ overall economic and fiscal outcomes. But which institutions really matter, and to what extent, is less cl...
How Low-Income Countries Can Diversify and Grow NEW
iMFdirect 1 Month, 4 Weeks, 2 Days, 4 Hours, 18 Minutes ago
By Chris Papageorgiou, Lisa Kolovich, and Sean Nolan  Low-income countries have spent a lot of time thinking about how they can achieve faster growth, and we have done some research to help them. We found that pursuing export diversification is...
Taper Tantrum or Tedium: How U.S. Interest Rates Affect Financial Markets in Emerging Economies NEW
iMFdirect 2 Months, 5 Days, 17 Hours, 21 Minutes ago
By Alexander Klemm, Andre Meier, and Sebastián Sosa Governments in most emerging economies, including in Latin America, have reduced their exposure to U.S. interest rates over the past decade, by issuing a greater share of public debt in...
U.S. Interest Rates: The Potential Shock Heard Around the World NEW
iMFdirect 2 Months, 6 Days, 13 Hours, 50 Minutes ago
By Serkan Arslanalp and Yingyuan Chen As the financial market turbulence of May 2013 demonstrated, the timing and management of the U.S. Fed exit from unconventional monetary policy is critical. Our analysis in the latest Global Financial Stability R...
Building the Future: Jobs, Growth, and Fairness in the Arab World NEW
iMFdirect 2 Months, 1 Week, 13 Hours, 38 Minutes ago
By Christine Lagarde Returning from Amman, where we just wrapped up a conference on the future of the Arab countries in transition, I am truly energized by the optimistic spirit that I encountered. Following on the heels of my visit to Morocco,...
The New Frontier: Economies on the Rise NEW
iMFdirect 2 Months, 1 Week, 1 Day, 11 Hours, 38 Minutes ago
By Min Zhu (Version in 中文,Français, Português) There is a group of fast-growing low-income countries that are attracting international investor interest—frontier economies. Understanding who they are, how they ar...
Are Banks Too Large? Maybe, Maybe Not NEW
iMFdirect 2 Months, 1 Week, 6 Days, 17 Hours, 42 Minutes ago
By Luc Laeven, Lev Ratnovski, and Hui Tong Large banks were at the center of the recent financial crisis. The public dismay at costly but necessary bailouts of “too-big-to-fail” banks has triggered an active debate on the optimal size and...
From Rabat to Amman NEW
iMFdirect 2 Months, 2 Weeks, 3 Days, 10 Hours, 10 Minutes ago
By Christine Lagarde Earlier this week, the first stop on my Middle East and North Africa trip was Morocco, which displayed its legendary hospitality and kindness. Located at the crossroads of Africa, Europe, and the Middle East, the country hol...