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Latest posts
The Future of the State Revisited: Reforming Public Expenditure NEW
iMFdirect 3 Days, 13 Hours, 18 Minutes ago
By: Sanjeev Gupta and Martine Guerguil The global financial crisis brought to the fore the question of sustainability of public finances. But it merely exacerbated a situation that was bound to attract attention sooner or later—governments...
Socrates & the Pope: Overheard at the IMF’s Spring Meetings NEW
iMFdirect 5 Days, 7 Hours, 23 Minutes ago
By IMFdirect editors Socrates’ famous method to develop his students’ intellect was to question them relentlessly in an unending search for contradictions and the truth—or at the very least, a great quote. The method was alive and w...
Europe’s Economic Outlook NEW
iMFdirect 1 Week, 1 Day, 9 Hours, 33 Minutes ago
By Reza Moghadam Economic growth across Europe is slowly picking up, which is good news. But the recovery is still modest and measures to boost economic growth and create jobs are important. Western Europe: picking up the pace The recovery projected...
Arab Economic Transformation Amid Political Transitions NEW
iMFdirect 1 Week, 1 Day, 13 Hours, 26 Minutes ago
By Masood Ahmed (version in عربي) The International Monetary Fund released today a new paper entitled “Toward New Horizons—Arab Economic Transformation amid Political Transitions.” The paper makes the ca...
Public Finances Are on the Mend, but No Clean Bill of Health NEW
iMFdirect 1 Week, 3 Days, 12 Hours, 26 Minutes ago
By Sanjeev Gupta and Martine Guerguil (Version in  Français, Русский) We’ve had a spate of good news on the economic front recently. Does this mean that we are finally out of...
Global Financial Stability: Beginning To Turn The Corner NEW
iMFdirect 1 Week, 3 Days, 14 Hours, 32 Minutes ago
By José Viñals Global financial stability is improving—we have begun to turn the corner. But it is too early to declare victory as there is a need to move beyond liquidity dependence—the central theme of our report—to...
As Demand Improves, Time to Focus More on Supply NEW
iMFdirect 1 Week, 4 Days, 10 Hours, 4 Minutes ago
By Olivier Blanchard The dynamics that were emerging at the time of the October 2013 World Economic Outlook are becoming more visible. Put simply, the recovery is strengthening. In our recent World Economic Outlook, we forecast world growth to be 3.6...
The Evolution of Monetary Policy: More Art and Less Science NEW
iMFdirect 1 Week, 5 Days, 13 Hours, 56 Minutes ago
By Giovanni Dell’Ariccia and Karl Habermeier The global financial crisis shook monetary policy in advanced economies out of the almost complacent routine into which it had settled since Paul Volcker’s Fed beat inflation in the United Stat...
Are Emerging Markets Still On the Receiving End? NEW
iMFdirect 2 Weeks, 2 Days, 15 Hours, 1 Minute ago
By Aseel Almansour, Aqib Aslam, John Bluedorn and Rupa Duttagupta The recent slowdown in emerging market growth is fueling a growing mania across markets and policy circles. Some worry that a large part of their stellar pace of growth over the 2000s...
Are Emerging Markets Adjusting to a New Normal? NEW
iMFdirect 2 Weeks, 4 Days, 13 Hours, 4 Minutes ago
By Aseel Almansour, Aqib Aslam, John Bluedorn and Rupa Duttagupta  Emerging markets have grown at a remarkable pace through most of the 2000s. They even rebounded strongly from the Great Recession, notwithstanding the sluggishness in advanced ec...
Where Are Real Interest Rates Headed? NEW
iMFdirect 2 Weeks, 4 Days, 14 Hours, 4 Minutes ago
By Andrea Pescatori and Davide Furceri In the past few years, many borrowers with good credit ratings have enjoyed a cost of debt close to zero or even negative when it is adjusted for inflation. In other words, real interest rates, and, thus, the re...
China: Size Matters NEW
iMFdirect 3 Weeks, 3 Days, 8 Hours, 4 Minutes ago
By Steven Barnett (Version in  中文) Mongolia’s economy grew nearly 12 percent last year, the United States around 2 percent. So Mongolia grew around 6 times faster than the United States, yet of course the United States c...
India’s Investment Slowdown: The High Cost of Economic Policy Uncertainty NEW
iMFdirect 3 Weeks, 4 Days, 7 Hours, 48 Minutes ago
By Rahul Anand and Volodymyr Tulin India, after witnessing spectacular growth averaging above 9 percent over the past decade, has started to slow in the last few years. The slump in infrastructure and corporate investment has been the single biggest...
Abenomics—Time for a Push from Higher Wages NEW
iMFdirect 4 Weeks, 2 Days, 6 Hours, 14 Minutes ago
By Dennis Botman and Zoltan Jakab  (Version in  日本語) Japan’s economic progress over the past year has been impressive, with strong growth, and inflation, investment, and credit growth all heading in the...
If China Sneezes, Africa Can Now Catch a Cold NEW
iMFdirect 1 Month, 3 Hours, 33 Minutes ago
By Paulo Drummond and Estelle Xue Liu Growing links with China have supported economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa. But the burgeoning commercial and financial ties between the developing subcontinent and the world’s second-biggest economy car...
Meeting Rising Pressures to Address Income Inequality—A User’s Guide NEW
iMFdirect 1 Month, 1 Day, 2 Hours, 58 Minutes ago
By Sanjeev Gupta and Michael Keen These are difficult times for ministers of finance. Fiscal constraints are tight and raising economic growth a priority. At the same time, income inequality is on the rise, and so is public pressure for governments t...
Financial Crises: Taking Stock NEW
iMFdirect 1 Month, 1 Week, 3 Days, 3 Hours, 19 Minutes ago
By Stijn Claessens Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it. The world has been littered with many financial crises over the centuries, yet many a time these lessons are ignored, and crises recur.  Indeed, there are many cle...
The Trillion Dollar Question: Who Owns Emerging Market Government Debt NEW
iMFdirect 1 Month, 2 Weeks, 22 Hours, 47 Minutes ago
By Serkan Arslanalp and Takahiro Tsuda There are a trillion reasons to care about who owns emerging market debt.  That’s how much money global investors have poured into in these government bonds in recent years —$1 trillion.  W...
Euro Area — “Deflation” Versus “Lowflation” NEW
iMFdirect 1 Month, 2 Weeks, 2 Days, 11 Minutes ago
By Reza Moghadam, Ranjit Teja, and Pelin Berkmen Recent talk about deflation in the euro area has evoked two kinds of reactions. On one side are those who worry about the associated prospect of prolonged recession. On the other are those who see the...
How Real Is The Recovery In The Euro Area? NEW
iMFdirect 1 Month, 3 Weeks, 2 Hours, 31 Minutes ago
By Reza Moghadam Is the recovery everyone has been waiting for finally here? Encouraging signs from Europe—rising share prices, lower sovereign bond yields, and increased risk appetite—reflect an upturn in high-frequency indicators, the f...