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Neighbourhood (Nicu Popescu)

URL: http://blogs.euobserver.com/popescu/

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Type: Individual

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Latest posts
EU’s neighbourhood policy after Ukraine NEW
Neighbourhood (Nicu Popescu) 2 Weeks, 4 Days, 14 Hours, 51 Minutes ago
A decade ago the EU launched the European Neighbourhood Policy (ENP) in an attempt to surround itself with a ‘ring of friends’. As the Economist put it recently, however, it now seems surrounded by a ‘ring of fir...
Ukraine’s impact on Russia NEW
Neighbourhood (Nicu Popescu) 3 Months, 3 Weeks, 3 Days, 7 Hours, 1 Minute ago
The crisis in Ukraine now dominates the Russian foreign and domestic policy agendas. Domestically, Putin has done well out of recent events. According to the Levada-Centre, a polling organisation, just before major protests erupted against former Pre...
Ukraine: four crises, one country NEW
Neighbourhood (Nicu Popescu) 4 Months, 3 Weeks, 5 Days, 20 Hours, 30 Minutes ago
For most of the last two decades virtually every Ukrainian election or opinion poll has displayed two Ukraines – one Western-leaning and another looking to Moscow; one voting Timoshenko or Yushchenko and another pro Yanukovich; one against Puti...
After Crimea: Putin’s Balance Sheet NEW
Neighbourhood (Nicu Popescu) 6 Months, 3 Weeks, 4 Days, 32 Minutes ago
When it comes to foreign policy, Russia is good at sprinting, while the West – and especially the EU – is better at marathons. The use of kinetic military force by Moscow is to a large extent a sign that other, long-te...
Ukraine: the view from China NEW
Neighbourhood (Nicu Popescu) 7 Months, 2 Weeks, 1 Day, 11 Hours, 3 Minutes ago
With every new major international crisis – be it the Arab Spring, the 2008 Russian-Georgian war, recurrent emergencies in Africa, or the current Ukrainian-Russian tensions – it does not take long for diplomats and observers to start wond...
Three scenarios for Ukraine NEW
Neighbourhood (Nicu Popescu) 7 Months, 3 Weeks, 1 Day, 16 Hours, 43 Minutes ago
In two weeks Ukraine has gone through two major shocks. The Ukrainian revolution was one of the most violent transitions to date, and not just in the post-Soviet space. And the Russian military intervention in Crimea arguably constituted the biggest...
EU-Russia: facing stagnation NEW
Neighbourhood (Nicu Popescu) 9 Months, 6 Days, 18 Hours, 2 Minutes ago
For the best part of the last two decades, EU-Russia summits have alternated between being upbeat events where new grand integration initiatives were launched – the creation of four common spaces in 2005, the partnership for modernisation in 20...
After Vilnius: tough year ahead NEW
Neighbourhood (Nicu Popescu) 10 Months, 3 Weeks, 1 Day, 3 Hours, 24 Minutes ago
The run-up to the Eastern Partnership (EaP) Summit in Vilnius has been one of the most dramatic episodes in the recent diplomatic history of the EU. The events that followed have been even more extraordinary, with hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians...
Eurasian Union’s problem with Russian nationalism NEW
Neighbourhood (Nicu Popescu) 11 Months, 5 Days, 16 Hours, 16 Minutes ago
The Eurasian Union, Russian nationalism and the Moscow riots It is a sad but quintessentially European story. A rich capital attracts migrants, which in turn creates tensions between the local population and the newly arrived immigrants. At some poin...
Armenia’s choice and the Eastern Partnership NEW
Neighbourhood (Nicu Popescu) 1 Year, 1 Week, 3 Days, 8 Hours, 15 Minutes ago
A few weeks ago, Armenia stunned EU foreign policy watchers when it gave up on its association and free trade deal with the EU just a few weeks after negotiations had been finalised. The move followed Russian demands on Armenia to join the Russia-led...
A solidarity package for the eastern partners NEW
Neighbourhood (Nicu Popescu) 1 Year, 1 Month, 1 Week, 1 Day, 4 Hours, 21 Minutes ago
The year ahead will be a crucial one for the success of the Eastern Partnership (EaP). While Ukraine and the EU work towards the eventual signature of an Association Agreement at the Eastern Partnership summit in Vilnius in Novemb...
Keeping the Eastern Partnership on track NEW
Neighbourhood (Nicu Popescu) 1 Year, 1 Month, 3 Weeks, 1 Day, 4 Hours, 21 Minutes ago
Sir Humphrey Appleby, the suave civil servant in the British sitcom ‘Yes Minister’ known for his wise but cynical pessimism, once remarked that diplomacy is about surviving until the next century – while politics is about surviving...
Russia-Syria: The Odd Couple NEW
Neighbourhood (Nicu Popescu) 1 Year, 1 Month, 3 Weeks, 4 Days, 1 Hour, 1 Minute ago
As the world awaits a possible military strike – led by the US – on Syria, the leaders of the G20 are gathering for their annual summit in St Petersburg. This time round, the issue of war is likely to overshadow discussions on the economy...
The Russian-Ukrainian Trade Spat NEW
Neighbourhood (Nicu Popescu) 1 Year, 1 Month, 4 Weeks, 1 Day, 2 Hours, 32 Minutes ago
In mid-August, Russia blocked virtually all imports from Ukraine. Although the cross-border flows between the two countries have since resumed following a week of heightened tension, the issue is far from over. On the contrary, the trade sp...
Ukraine’s gas loop NEW
Neighbourhood (Nicu Popescu) 1 Year, 3 Months, 2 Weeks, 2 Days, 6 Hours, 54 Minutes ago
For many years, most countries in central and eastern Europe – from Bulgaria to Latvia, from Ukraine to Hungary – have complained of their dependence on Russian gas. All have tried to reduce this dependence through a combination of the de...
Why Saakashvili Lost? NEW
Neighbourhood (Nicu Popescu) 2 Years, 4 Weeks, 1 Day, 8 Hours, 10 Minutes ago
Mikhail Saakashvili, Georgia’s president conceded the defeat of his party at the parliamentary elections. His rival Bidzina Ivanishvili, a money-splashing oligarch who made his billions in Russia and and set up the Georgian Dream party – a motley...
Time for Azerbaijan to open up NEW
Neighbourhood (Nicu Popescu) 2 Years, 4 Weeks, 2 Days, 4 Hours, 3 Minutes ago
Foreigners normally tiptoe around Azerbaijan. They all want something from the country, be it in the field of energy or security. The EU wants Azerbaijani oil, gas and cooperation over building gas pipelines to Central Asia. The US and Israel value...
Updating Russia’s repressive software NEW
Neighbourhood (Nicu Popescu) 2 Years, 2 Months, 2 Weeks, 1 Day, 12 Hours, 39 Minutes ago
The massive street protests, which started in December 2011, have proved a very considerable stress-test for Russia’s autocratic political system, built and steered by Putin for over a decade. Russia-watchers in Europe and the US debated how the Kr...
Putinism under Siege: on the nationalist-democratic alliance NEW
Neighbourhood (Nicu Popescu) 2 Years, 3 Months, 6 Days, 19 Hours, 33 Minutes ago
Journal of Democracy has just published a special issue on ‘Putinism under Siege‘ with contributions from Lilia Shevtsova, Ivan Krastev & Stephen Holmes, Denis Volkov, Sharon Wolchik and I. My piece is on The Strange Alliance of Dem...
Russia’s lightweight government NEW
Neighbourhood (Nicu Popescu) 2 Years, 5 Months, 1 Week, 2 Days, 20 Hours, 40 Minutes ago
The last few months saw speculation of two possible behavioural models for Putin. The usual wishful thinkers were hoping for a Putin 2.0 (or maybe 3.0 or even 4.0) who was supposed to have got the message of the street protests and was supposed to en...