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A Fistful of Euros

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Latest posts
The Swiss franc appreciation and the sorry saga of FX lending NEW
A Fistful of Euros 4 Days, 11 Hours, 51 Minutes ago
Back in the 1980s Australians, many of them farmers, were offered low-interest loans, appealing in a high-interest environment. With changes in currency rates the loans in Swiss francs and Japanese yen quickly became much beyond the means of the borr...
Swiss franc appreciation reveals the sorry saga of FX lending to un-hedged individuals NEW
A Fistful of Euros 4 Days, 12 Hours, 6 Minutes ago
Back in the 1980s Australians, many of them farmers, were offered low-interest loans, appealing in a high-interest environment. With changes in currency rates the loans in Swiss francs and Japanese yen quickly became much beyond the means of the borr...
Confusion in Frankfurt or Athens NEW
A Fistful of Euros 1 Week, 4 Days, 16 Hours, 36 Minutes ago
European Central Bank statement last October in reaction to a New York Times article about Emergency Liquidity Assistance management in Cyprus – The ECB neither provides nor approves emergency liquidity assistance. It is the national central ba...
Swiss time was running out NEW
A Fistful of Euros 1 Week, 5 Days, 8 Hours, 36 Minutes ago
The reviews are in on the Swiss National Bank (SNB) abandoning its CHF 1.2 per Euro minimum peg and they are unfavourable. It seems people are shocked that Switzerland might act in a unilateral fashion and without seeing the need … Continue re...
Syrian reservists NEW
A Fistful of Euros 3 Weeks, 1 Day, 31 Minutes ago
Why are hundreds of Syrians turning up in cargo ships between Italy and Greece? It seems that the Syrian government is trying to mobilise its army reserve, and the reservists aren’t keen to go. It’s fairly well known that the … Con...
The AfD trolls itself. NEW
A Fistful of Euros 3 Weeks, 2 Days, 18 Hours, 26 Minutes ago
Strangely, different extreme-right groups are falling out among themselves at the same time, in that odd synchronicity European politics occasionally has. After UKIP’s pre-Christmas train-crash over candidate selection, here’s the AfD tea...
In the end at #Haiderbank, everyone who mattered got exactly what they wanted. NEW
A Fistful of Euros 3 Weeks, 2 Days, 18 Hours, 57 Minutes ago
So I spent my Christmas reading the Hypo Alpe-Adria crash investigation, in a follow-up to this post . The point that stands out for me is that I don’t think you can blame this one on incompetence. Too many actors … Continue reading &rar...
488 Not Acceptable Here NEW
A Fistful of Euros 3 Weeks, 3 Days, 10 Hours, 46 Minutes ago
We were talking about Ukraine and the proliferation of SIGINT capabilities. Now, we’ve got some facts thanks to Adaptive Mobile and the Ukrainian telco regulator. It looks like the Russians exploited the fact that they have SS7 roaming links wi...
Creative accounting is nothing new for the Eurozone NEW
A Fistful of Euros 1 Month, 1 Week, 1 Day, 10 Hours, 1 Minute ago
Frances Coppola blogs on the Austrian government’s crash investigation into the failure of Hypo Alpe-Adria (latest detail – the biggest participant in the run on the bank was its garantor), also known as Haiderbank, and on the related top...
It’s Baaack: Looming Greek Elections Threaten To Re-ignite the Euro Crisis NEW
A Fistful of Euros 1 Month, 2 Weeks, 4 Days, 5 Hours, 1 Minute ago
If at first you don’t succeed, try, try again……  aka third time unlucky. The Euro crisis has all the signs of being back amongst us, and this time it may be here to stay. After two earlier false alerts – … Contin...
Three economic history papers you should totally read NEW
A Fistful of Euros 1 Month, 3 Weeks, 2 Hours, 52 Minutes ago
The Berkeley Economic History Lab is blogging a lot of its recent working papers, and they’re a goldmine of great stuff. Here’s Richard Sutch writing in October this year, whose The Liquidity Trap, the Great Depression, and Unconventional...
Euro-nationalism is still a terrible idea. NEW
A Fistful of Euros 2 Months, 5 Days, 21 Hours, 11 Minutes ago
This piece about Catalan #indyref crystallises everything I hate about what I call Euro-nationalism. It’s wonderful that they’re all so engaged: Kilted men wearing saltire capes and foam fingers on both hands danced in the aisles as &ldqu...
Abenomics 2.0 – Just What Are They Trying To Achieve? NEW
A Fistful of Euros 2 Months, 1 Week, 5 Days, 22 Hours, 1 Minute ago
The recent move by the Bank of Japan to take further measures to accelerate the rate at which it ramps up its balance sheet took almost everyone – market watchers included – completely by surprise. The consequence was reasonably predictab...
I saw the wall Mr Gorbachev tore down. NEW
A Fistful of Euros 2 Months, 2 Weeks, 5 Days, 20 Hours, 1 Minute ago
In October 1989, I was in Berlin for the first time. Small town boy, big city lights. We flew with Pan-Am back then. The airline also doesn’t exist anymore. I caught about the last possible glimpse at the wall in … Continue reading &rarr...
Wolf Biermann trolls the Bundestag NEW
A Fistful of Euros 2 Months, 3 Weeks, 21 Hours, 21 Minutes ago
So the German parliament invited legendary songwriter, dissident, and wonderful professional malcontent Wolf Biermann to the session celebrating 25 years since the revolution. That went as badly as you might expect, or perhaps as well. Where do we st...
Confidence to spend NEW
A Fistful of Euros 3 Months, 5 Days, 11 Hours, 1 Minute ago
This slide is from Mario Draghi’s presentation to the European Union council today. As the caption states, he says it shows that investment is suffering from a lack of confidence. But it perhaps more clearly shows that private investment has &h...
Does The Secular Stagnation Theory Have Any Sort of Validity? NEW
A Fistful of Euros 3 Months, 1 Week, 2 Days, 8 Hours, 42 Minutes ago
In a number of blog-posts (Paul Krugman’s Bicycling Problem, On Bubble Business Bound, The Expectations Fairy) I have examined some of the implications of the theory of secular stagnation. But I haven’t up to now argued why I think the &h...
Open Letter to the Economist on Catalonia – J’accuse NEW
A Fistful of Euros 3 Months, 1 Week, 4 Days, 15 Hours, 26 Minutes ago
Those who have interest in neither Catalonia nor the issue of journalistic standards will probably find this posting long, tedious, and not especially interesting. Perhaps you might like to stop at this point. Those of you who are interested in &hell...
Eurocrisis Round Two, Blame the Germans Edition NEW
A Fistful of Euros 3 Months, 2 Weeks, 1 Day, 16 Hours, 48 Minutes ago
“What strikes me, also, is the extent of intellectual confusion that remains.” – Paul Krugman, Europanic 2.0 “The problem is that Germany has continued to maintain highly competitive labor costs and run huge surpluses since th...
Is Japan Back In Recession? NEW
A Fistful of Euros 3 Months, 3 Weeks, 9 Hours, 47 Minutes ago
“People should seriously consider that Japan’s economy may have fallen into recession despite the weaker yen and a stock rally from the BOJ’s easing and the flexible fiscal policy by Abe’s administration,” said Maiko Nog...