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A Fistful of Euros

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Latest posts
Confidence to spend NEW
A Fistful of Euros 1 Day, 1 Hour, 46 Minutes ago
This slide is from Mario Draghi’s presentation to the European Union council today. As the caption states, he says it shows that investment is suffering from a lack of confidence. But it perhaps more clearly shows that private investment has &h...
Does The Secular Stagnation Theory Have Any Sort of Validity? NEW
A Fistful of Euros 4 Days, 23 Hours, 26 Minutes ago
In a number of blog-posts (Paul Krugman’s Bicycling Problem, On Bubble Business Bound, The Expectations Fairy) I have examined some of the implications of the theory of secular stagnation. But I haven’t up to now argued why I think the &h...
Open Letter to the Economist on Catalonia – J’accuse NEW
A Fistful of Euros 1 Week, 6 Hours, 10 Minutes ago
Those who have interest in neither Catalonia nor the issue of journalistic standards will probably find this posting long, tedious, and not especially interesting. Perhaps you might like to stop at this point. Those of you who are interested in &hell...
Eurocrisis Round Two, Blame the Germans Edition NEW
A Fistful of Euros 1 Week, 4 Days, 7 Hours, 33 Minutes ago
“What strikes me, also, is the extent of intellectual confusion that remains.” – Paul Krugman, Europanic 2.0 “The problem is that Germany has continued to maintain highly competitive labor costs and run huge surpluses since th...
Is Japan Back In Recession? NEW
A Fistful of Euros 2 Weeks, 3 Days, 32 Minutes ago
“People should seriously consider that Japan’s economy may have fallen into recession despite the weaker yen and a stock rally from the BOJ’s easing and the flexible fiscal policy by Abe’s administration,” said Maiko Nog...
Just Send Me Word by Orlando Figes NEW
A Fistful of Euros 3 Weeks, 1 Day, 2 Hours, 4 Minutes ago
From the Preface to Just Send Me Word: A True Story of Love and Survival in the Gulag, by Orlando Figes: Three old trunks had just been delivered. They were sitting in a doorway, blocking people’s way into the busy … Continue reading &ra...
The Japanisation Of Europe NEW
A Fistful of Euros 1 Month, 4 Days, 20 Hours, 3 Minutes ago
By now it should be clear that the monetary experiment currently being carried out in Japan (known as “Abenomics”) is fundamentally different from the kind of quantitative easing which was implemented  in the United States and the Un...
Does Abenomics Work? – The Doubts Grow NEW
A Fistful of Euros 1 Month, 5 Days, 22 Hours, 36 Minutes ago
Is something in the air? Do I detect a change in consensus on the way things are going in Japan? Certainly a slew of articles have been published in the financial press over the last month questioning where the Abenomics … Continue reading &ra...
Their Eyes Were Watching Vlad NEW
A Fistful of Euros 1 Month, 1 Week, 6 Days, 21 Hours ago
Occasionally, representatives of Germany’s Left party (Die Linke) will complain about being tagged as the successors to East Germany’s communist party. Well. As part of the German parliament’s debate about the budget and foreign pol...
The Catalan Vote: Why It’s Time To Start Getting Worried About Complacency In Madrid NEW
A Fistful of Euros 1 Month, 1 Week, 6 Days, 21 Hours, 26 Minutes ago
When Barack Obama told a CNBC interviewer last autumn that Wall Street ought to be “genuinely worried about what is going on in Washington” in reference to the US government shutdown he raised more than a few eyebrows. Normally political...
Secular Stagnation Part III – The Expectations Fairy NEW
A Fistful of Euros 1 Month, 2 Weeks, 5 Days, 17 Hours, 59 Minutes ago
“So what’s going on here? Well, it might sound like a hokey religion, but central banking is really a Jedi mind trick. Just saying something can be enough to make it happen. That’s because the power of the printing press … Co...
What Is The Risk The Euro Crisis Will Reignite? NEW
A Fistful of Euros 2 Months, 6 Days, 14 Hours, 59 Minutes ago
The euro zone crisis is not back — at least not yet. Recent movements in global markets following concerns about Portugal’s Banco Espirito Santo really had as much to do with market nerves after a long spell of repressed volatility &helli...
The Italian Runaway Train NEW
A Fistful of Euros 2 Months, 1 Week, 1 Day, 5 Hours, 55 Minutes ago
There has been lot’s of debate in the press and in academic circles over the last week or so about whether Italy’s latest contraction constitutes a triple dip recession or simply a continuation of what’s been going on over many &hel...
Abenomics – What Could Possibly Go Wrong? NEW
A Fistful of Euros 2 Months, 1 Week, 4 Days, 3 Hours, 5 Minutes ago
If this week’s economics news is positive then that is good.  But if it’s bad then that’s even better, since there is more potential for it to improve next week, and if it doesn’t, well that’s doubly better since th...
Spain and the IMF: Round the Bend or Out of the Woods? NEW
A Fistful of Euros 3 Months, 1 Week, 3 Days, 18 Hours, 39 Minutes ago
“Spain has turned the corner”. With this stark statement the IMF opened it’s annual Article IV consultation report for 2014. Naturally the statement rankled, with this author among others, because at first sight it seems to be sayin...
Multipliers and adding up NEW
A Fistful of Euros 3 Months, 3 Weeks, 4 Days, 16 Hours, 13 Minutes ago
Bank for International Settlements 84th Annual Report, page 11 – Second, as growing evidence suggests, balance sheet recessions are less responsive to traditional demand management measures (Chapter V). One reason is that banks need t...
Japan Inflation At A 32 Year High? NEW
A Fistful of Euros 3 Months, 3 Weeks, 5 Days, 15 Hours, 23 Minutes ago
Just in case anyone was in any doubt last weeks newspaper  headlines blared it out for us loud and clear – Japanese inflation is back, and has even hit levels last seen in 1982. (Click on image below for better … Continue reading &r...
Yes, the German government took traffic for the NSA NEW
A Fistful of Euros 3 Months, 4 Weeks, 1 Day, 11 Hours, 19 Minutes ago
You know when I said the NSA was getting telecoms intercepts from the German intelligence services? They were.
You still don’t have to have Juncker. NEW
A Fistful of Euros 3 Months, 4 Weeks, 1 Day, 12 Hours, 12 Minutes ago
Stefan Kornelius in the Süddeutsche Zeitung says that it’s a myth that the EU has always managed to bring off major reforms, once it really came under pressure. Instead, whenever it came under pressure, it managed to do something dramatic...
You voted for it, in short. NEW
A Fistful of Euros 4 Months, 3 Days, 5 Hours, 51 Minutes ago
So this is a thing. It must be – it’s in the New York Times Magazine and the Süddeutsche Zeitung on the same weekend. Dean Baker is rough on It’s Official: the Boomerang Kids Won’t Leave. To be fair, the … Continue...